Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 22.875722 26.494825 30.434856 35.034202 40.246793 45.961750 52.692477
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 16.552428 21.447028 27.313825 34.822042 44.129283 55.237802 69.445218
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 12.515758 17.756165 24.539385 33.869679 46.261419 62.031449 83.475972
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 10.147433 15.540348 22.983734 33.847829 49.105807 69.544610 98.715134
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 8.522227 13.963723 21.908483 34.114789 52.095644 77.246733 114.623120
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.727734 11.778223 19.566340 32.136685 51.512587 79.740242 123.298716
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.995275 11.102496 19.348952 33.217171 55.407971 88.829227 142.001315
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.523809 10.765263 19.587375 34.978954 60.437568 99.918563 164.430955
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.682896 9.638097 18.354235 34.160201 61.224294 104.485725 177.144249
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.868533 8.415246 16.776102 32.534507 60.457290 106.439965 185.769047
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.698391 8.396482 17.335167 34.684985 66.233425 119.360576 212.869521
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.660812 8.633949 18.386184 37.811410 73.943091 135.984091 247.095738
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.260184 8.084176 17.925105 38.196916 77.021514 145.371744 270.528500
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.810771 7.355613 17.026540 37.670040 78.440088 152.111674 290.157946
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.380953 6.585220 15.924461 36.590206 78.681440 156.742667 306.394209
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.099184 6.109268 15.374185 36.555226 80.909234 165.101208 329.821185
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.878264 5.739842 15.001784 36.838902 83.772841 174.815751 356.336130
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.536491 4.978717 13.611107 34.718956 81.492575 174.549464 364.198492
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.430154 4.840559 13.679324 35.876686 86.170904 188.082434 399.086788
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.370679 4.825304 14.046960 37.763970 92.572088 205.441938 442.409380
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.184760 4.391744 13.288479 36.886967 92.825430 210.439049 461.795538
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.988702 3.877552 12.233358 35.145172 90.951662 210.904910 472.130789
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.971926 3.945598 12.767902 37.449100 98.554938 231.643920 524.745710